Photo Credit: Werner Kunz (Flicker)

Series Preview: Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox (Sep 30-Oct 2)

The Toronto Blue Jays head into Fenway Park with their playoff hopes, and season in the balance. Their fate is in their hands.

 

After dropping 2 of 3 to the Orioles, Toronto is now (87-72) on the season and have won 6 of their last 10. At the moment the Blue Jays are tied with the Orioles for the top WC spot. The Red Sox (92-67) are 7-3 over their last 10, and have dropped 3 straight. Boston has already clinched the American League East division title.

The Blue Jays have a 41-37 road record this season, while Boston have a 46-32 home record in 2016.
Pitching:

TOR – (Starters) 3.66 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 1.09 HR/9, 7.7 K/9, .237/.301/.390

BOS – (Starters) 4.22 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 1.20 HR/9, 7.8 K/9, .252/.312/.413

TOR – (Relievers) 4.10 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 1.24 HR/9, 9.1 K/9, .254/.315/.420

BOS – (Relievers) 3.57 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 0.92 HR/9, 9.8 K/9, .233/.314/.367
Offenses:

Toronto – R/G 4.75 – .249/.330/.429 – 508 XBH – 8.4 K/G

Boston – R/G 5.49 – .284/.350/.465 – 569 XBH – 7.2 K/G
History: The Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox have played each other a total of 594 times with the advantage in the all-time series going to the Sox at 324-270. Toronto has a 137-158 record at Fenway. The teams have played each other to an 8-8 record this season, with Toronto taking 4 of 7 in Boston.

Game 1

First Pitch – 7:10 EST

M. Estrada RHP (2016: 9-9, 3.53 ERA) vs. R. Porcello RHP (2016: 22-4, 3.11 ERA)

Toronto’s Marco Estrada will take the ball on Friday night for the series opener. Estrada, who has looked more like himself of late, has a current record of (9-9, 3.53 ERA, 1.117 WHIP, 8.5 K/9) this season.

Over his career he has a (4-4, 4.15 ERA, 1.431 WHIP, 6.6 K/9) when facing Boston, including a (2-2, 3.47 ERA, 1.286 WHIP, 6.9 K/9) over 4 starts this season.

Estrada is (6-2, 3.48 ERA, 1.016 WHIP, 7.9 K/9) on the road in 2016, with a (1-1, 3.86 ERA, 1.000 WHIP, 5.1 K/9) over 2 starts in Boston.

Boston will counter with their Cy Young award candidate Rick Porcello to open the series. Porcello has put together his best season as a professional with his (22-4, 3.11 ERA, 0.991 WHIP, 7.6 K/9) record.

Over his career he has a (7-7, 5.07 ERA, 1.224 WHIP, 5.8 K/9), including a (3-0, 4.50 ERA, 1.000 WHIP, 9.3 K/9) over 3 starts this season.

Porcello has a remarkable (13-1, 2.88 ERA, 0.990 WHIP, 7.5 K/9) record on home in 2016.

Game 2

First Pitch – 7:10 EST

J. Happ LHP (2016: 20-4, 3.20 ERA) vs. E. Rodriguez LHP (2016: 3.7, 4.68 ERA)

Saturday will see Toronto’s own Cy Young candidate J.A. Happ take the ball. Happ will have his second crack at winning his 21st game this season, and currently sits at (20-4, 3.20 ERA, 1.161 WHIP, 7.7 K/9) this season.

He has a career record of (5-3, 3.74 ERA, 1.338 WHIP, 6.8 K/9) when facing Boston, with a (2-0, 2.08 ERA, 0.769 WHIP, 6.2 k/9) over 2 starts this season.

Happ has a (9-2, 3.47 ERA, 1.155 WHIP, 7.0 K/9) on the road this season, including a 7 IP, 4H, ER performance at Fenway this season.

Boston will send lefty Eduardo Rodriguez to the hill to counter Happ. Rodriguez has put together a (3-7, 4.68 ERA, 1.284 WHIP, 8.0 K/9) record in 2016.

Over his career he is (1-3, 6.85 ERA, 1.343 WHIP, 4.0 K/9) when facing Toronto, including an (0-2, 5.40 ERA, 1.114 WHIP, 3.9 K/9) record this season.

Rodriguez is (0-4, 6.10 ERA, 1.500 WHIP, 7.2 K/9) at Fenway Park this season.

Game 3

First Pitch – 3:05 EST

A. Sanchez RHP (2016: 14-2, 3.06 ERA) vs. D. Price LHP (2016: 17-9, 4.04 ERA)

Assuming the Sunday game is meaningful, Toronto is scheduled to send Aaron Sanchez to the mound for the last game of the regular season. Sanchez has put together a fine (14-2, 3.06 ERA, 1.189 WHIP, 7.5 K/9) record in his first full season as a starter.

He is (3-1, 3.89 ERA, 1.270 WHIP, 7.8 K/9) over his career against Boston, including a (1-0, 5.19 ERA, 1.269 WHIP, 7.8 K/9) record over 3 starts this season.

Sanchez holds an impressive (8-1, 2.56 ERA, 1.117 WHIP, 7.5 K/9) road record in 2016.

Boston will send former Blue Jay David Price to the mound on Sunday. Price is completing his first season of his huge free agent contract, and sits with a (17-9, 4.04 ERA, 1.200 WHIP, 9.0 K/9) record.

Over his career he is (17-3, 2.44 ERA, 1.078 WHIP, 7.8 K/9) when facing Toronto, including a (1-1, 2.66 ERA, 1.180 WHIP, 7.5 K/9) over 3 starts this season.

Price holds a (9-3, 4.21 ERA, 1.138 WHIP, 10.0 K/9) at home this season.

With this being the last regular season series of 2016, I would like to send a personal thank you to all who have taken time out to read our previews. We truly hope you all enjoyed the information we here at JFtC have put together for your viewing. If they helped, in any way, to bring some enjoyment to your season, it was well worth the effort on our part. Now, let’s go Jays!

*All Pitcher vs Batter Stats provided by ESPN
**Featured Image Credit: Werner Kunz (Flickr) – UNDER CC BY-SA 2.0

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Wade is a long time baseball fan who has been involved with the game for over 30 years. Including as a former college player, amateur pitching coach, and blogger.

W Black

Wade is a long time baseball fan who has been involved with the game for over 30 years. Including as a former college player, amateur pitching coach, and blogger.