Revisiting MLB 2012 Draft: Blue Jays Marcus Stroman

 

If you had it to do all over again, would you do it differently? A look at Blue Jays Marcus Stroman’s 2012 Draft position

 

 

 

In anticipation of the backlash that is sure to follow, I’d to like to explain to our Jays From the Couch readers, and Marcus Stroman supporters, that this article is meant to be a fun exercise. It is by no means an attempt to devalue Marcus Stroman’s accomplishments or the accomplishments of the previous Blue Jays Front Office. Instead, it is to look back on the selection of the #StroShow to see how it has turned out thus far.

 

In fact, this exercise may actually validate the Stroman pick, if it even required validation. I will let you, the readers, make that conclusion.

 

With that out the way, I have a few rules to this little game:

 

Rule#1

Any players selected prior to Marcus Stroman, with the 22nd pick, will not be part of the discussion.

SO NO, “The Blue Jays should’ve picked Carlos Correa” comments. He was the 1st overall pick of the Astros that year, so was off the board 21 picks earlier.

 

Rule #2

Let’s not discuss any players taken after Matt Smoral, with the 50th pick. If the Blue Jays wanted to take a player who was drafted after the 50th pick then they wouldn’t have picked Matt Smoral, right?

 

Let’s get to it.

 

The Toronto Blue Jays had 5 picks in the 1st round, which included the compensation round. To refresh everyone’s memory here is a breakdown of who the Blue Jays selected with those 5 picks and where they fell in respect to the draft order:

 

17th: D.J. Davis

22nd: Marcus Stroman

50th: Matt Smoral

58th: Mitch Nay

60th: Tyler Gonzales

 

FYI- The 4 players taken after the enigmatic D.J. Davis were, in order, Los Angeles Dodgers Corey Seager, St. Louis Cardinals Micheal Wacha, San Francisco Giants Chris Stratton, and Atlanta Braves Lucas Sims. While Stratton and Sims have not made the impacts that Seager and Wacha have made, their development is still light years ahead of D.J. Davis.

 

Moving on. Here’s a break down of the picks from that draft, sorted by major league experience:

 

No Major League Experience

23rd- James Ramsey

26th- Stryker Trahan

27th- Clint Coulter

28th- Victor Roache

29th- Lewis Brinson (Top-Rated Prospect)

30th- Ty Hensley (Inactive)

 

Minimal ML Experience

24th- Deven Marrero

25th- Richie Shaffer

30th- Brian Johnson

 

That concludes the 1st round portion of the 2011 Draft. Other than Texas Rangers Lewis Brinson, who looks like a very solid Outfield prospect, the Stroshow pick looks pretty solid.

Next up, the Compensation Pick portion of the 2011 Draft.

 

No Major League Experience

34th- Daniel Robertson (Top-Rated Prospect)

40th- Shane Watson

42nd- Luke Bard

43rd- Pierce Johnson (Top-Rated Prospect, in 2014 and 2015)

45th- Barrett Barnes (Excellent 2016 at AA)

48th- Keon Barnum

49th- Jesse Winker (Top-Rated Prospect)

 

Minimal ML Experience

32nd- Jose Berrios (Top-Rated Prospect)

33rd- Zach Eflin  (Exceeded rookie status)

35th- Kevin Plawecki (Exceeded rookie status)

37th- Pat Light

38th- Mitch Haniger

39th- Joey Gallo (Exceeded rookie status)

47th- Matt Olson

 

ML Regular

36th- Stephen Piscotty

41st- Lance McCullers Jr.

44th- Travis Jankowski

46th- Eddie Butler

 

The ML Regular group has some interesting players when comparing Marcus Stroman’s contributions to the Toronto Blue Jays to date. The St. Louis Cardinals struck gold with Stephen Piscotty who has the makings of a 20+HR, high AVG outfielder.

 

Stephen Piscotty Career Stats

Year Age G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
2015 24 63 233 29 71 15 4 7 39 20 56 .305 .359 .494 .853
2016 25 153 582 86 159 35 3 22 85 51 133 .273 .343 .457 .800
2 Yrs 216 815 115 230 50 7 29 124 71 189 .282 .348 .467 .815
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 2/18/2017.

 

The San Diego Padres Travis Jankowski creates havoc with his speed on the base paths and excellent defense but may struggle to maintain a replacement level AVG his entire career.

 

Travis Jankowski’s Career Stats

Year Age G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
2015 24 34 90 9 19 2 2 2 12 2 1 4 24 .211 .245 .344 .589
2016 25 131 335 53 82 13 2 2 12 30 12 42 100 .245 .332 .313 .646
2 Yrs 165 425 62 101 15 4 4 24 32 13 46 124 .238 .315 .320 .635
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 2/18/2017.

 

The Colorado Rockies, Eddie Butler, is tasked with conquering Major League Baseball’s most hitter friendly park. Thus far, the park is winning. Making his MLB debut the same year as Stroman, Butler bounced between the rotation and the bullpen in 2016, ending the season in the bullpen. With the Rockies current/future crop of starting pitching ready to make the jump to Colorado, Butler’s future is uncertain.

 

Eddie Butler’s Career Stats

Year Age W L ERA G GS IP H R ER HR BB SO FIP WHIP
2014 23 1 1 6.75 3 3 16.0 23 12 12 2 7 3 5.69 1.875
2015 24 3 10 5.90 16 16 79.1 102 57 52 13 42 44 5.89 1.815
2016 25 2 5 7.17 17 9 64.0 87 57 51 13 21 47 5.44 1.688
3 Yrs 6 16 6.50 36 28 159.1 212 126 115 28 70 94 5.69 1.770
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 2/18/2017.

 

Of the ML Regular group, the Houston Astros Lance McCullers Jr.’s results at the MLB level may resemble those of Stroman. McCullers lost a chunk of the 2016 season to injury, limiting him to just 14 starts, whereas, Stroman only made 4 starts in 2015 after tearing up his knee in Spring Training. Stroman’s made 20 more starts than McCullers, after making his MLB debut with 20 starts in 2014.

 

Lance McCullers Career Stats

Year Age W L ERA G GS IP H R ER HR BB SO FIP WHIP
2015 21 6 7 3.22 22 22 125.2 106 49 45 10 43 129 3.26 1.186
2016 22 6 5 3.22 14 14 81.0 80 29 29 5 45 106 3.00 1.543
2 Yrs 12 12 3.22 36 36 206.2 186 78 74 15 88 235 3.16 1.326
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 2/18/2017.

 

The Marcus Stroman pick gave Blue Jays a taste of instant gratification. He was a college player that many teams viewed as a bullpen arm because of his height. While this, lack of height, may still pose durability problems down the road, Stroman has proven to be a top of the rotation starter on a playoff team.

 

Marcus Stroman’s Career Stats

Year Age W L ERA G GS IP H R ER HR BB SO FIP WHIP
2014 23 11 6 3.65 26 20 130.2 125 56 53 7 28 111 2.84 1.171
2015 24 4 0 1.67 4 4 27.0 20 5 5 2 6 18 3.54 0.963
2016 25 9 10 4.37 32 32 204.0 209 104 99 21 54 166 3.71 1.289
3 Yrs 24 16 3.91 62 56 361.2 354 165 157 30 88 295 3.38 1.222
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 2/18/2017.

 

Some fans choose to look to the future, rather than instant gratification. That might make Jose Berrios, Joey Gallo, etc more appealing than the quick risers in the ML Regular Group. It’s possible that, while the Minimal ML experience and No ML Experience groups have yet to secure MLB starting gigs, their upside may be greater than those in the ML Regular Group. It is also possible that once on an MLB roster any one of these young men’s future accomplishments could overshadow those in the ML Regular Group, including Stroman’s. One must also consider the age of a pick when placing expectations and comparisons to that pick.

 

With the information provided, are we still happy with decision to take Marcus Stroman with the 22nd pick in the 2012 Draft? If not, who would YOU rather the Blue Jays used that pick on and why?

 

Footnote:

Many of the 2012 draft picks of the Blue Jays are no longer in the system or have moved on from professional baseball. Here are the picks still plying their trade in Toronto’s farm system in the hopes of one day joining Marcus Stroman:

Anthony Alford, Ian Parmley, Ryan Borucki, Shane Dawson, Josh Almonte, and Jason Leblebijian.

 

 

 

 

 

 

*Featured Image Credit: ARTURO PARDAVILA III- UNDER CC BY-SA 2.0– cropped from original

 

 

 

 

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Lover of all things Toronto Blue Jays. Blue Jays MiLB fanatic. I strive for average while stumbling onto above average. Rogers isn’t cheap. Baseball is a business. Your right, but I’m more right.

Ryan Mueller

Lover of all things Toronto Blue Jays. Blue Jays MiLB fanatic. I strive for average while stumbling onto above average. Rogers isn't cheap. Baseball is a business. Your right, but I'm more right.