Consistency the Key to Blue Jays Jonathan Davis Success in 2017

A closer look at Blue Jays outfield prospect Jonathan Davis’ 2017 stats uncover a more consistent Jonathan Davis than 2016

 

After struggling to find consistency in his first three seasons in the Toronto Blue Jays system, Jonathan Davis broke out in 2016.

 

Dunedin

 

As a member of the 2016 Dunedin Blue Jays, in an outfield with Anthony Alford and DJ Davis, it was Jonathan Davis who stood out. Jonathan topped all other D-Jays with 33 stolen bases, 8 triples, 70 walks, and .376 OBP. Davis posted a decent .252 batting average with 21 doubles, and 54 runs batted in.

 

But could he put up similar number Double-A with the New Hampshire Fisher Cats?

 

The Bad

 

With 104 Double-A games under his belt, Davis has shown that 2016 was no fluke. The numbers are very close.

 

The 25-yr-old outfielder hasn’t flashed the same power. In 2016 he posted .189 ISO and hit 14 long balls. In 2017 he is posting a .128 ISO with only 8 HR. As you can imagine, Davis has seen his slugging percent drop as result of the lower ISO numbers.

 

Another area of his game to decline can be found in the stolen base department. After stealing 33 in 2016, Davis has stolen 16 bases in 2017 (T-6th). He was caught just 6 times in 2016 and has already been caught 10 times (T-3rd) with New Hampshire.

 

An area of Jonathan Davis’ game which needed improvement but remained the same was the strike out. He has swing and miss in his game, no doubt about it. He consistently strikes out around 20% of the time and has done the same in 2017.

 

The Good

 

With the negative out of the way, let’s focus on the positive.

 

The 5-foot-8 corner outfielder continues to show impressive on-base skills with 13.2 BB% and .308 BABIP while posting .364 OBP. Combine his Midwest leading 58 base on balls with his above average speed and it becomes easy to see why Davis is tied for 4th in the Midwest with 62 runs scored.

 

Consistency

 

While staying healthy as a member of the 2016 D-Jays was a major accomplishment for Davis, consistency remained an issue.

 

2016 Player Batting Splits
Split G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
April 23 81 20 23 6 1 4 14 9 1 20 22 .284 .437 .531 .968
May 24 77 12 15 1 2 2 12 7 1 13 25 .195 .333 .338 .671
June 22 87 11 28 6 0 5 13 5 2 12 21 .322 .425 .563 .988
July 25 91 15 18 3 1 2 8 4 1 12 25 .198 .305 .319 .623
August 24 74 16 19 5 4 1 7 7 1 13 18 .257 .387 .473 .860
September 2 8 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 .250 .250 .250 .500
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 8/10/2017.

 

Imagine how different his 2016 numbers would have been with a more consistent May and July.

 

2017 Player Batting Splits
Split G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS
April 19 63 6 16 2 0 2 5 1 2 13 20 .254 .390 .381 .771
May 27 97 18 24 5 0 2 11 4 3 9 26 .247 .327 .361 .688
June 23 79 15 21 6 1 2 15 5 1 13 18 .266 .366 .443 .809
July 28 93 18 23 2 2 2 6 5 3 22 18 .247 .407 .376 .783
August 7 26 1 5 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 9 .192 .250 .231 .481
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 8/10/2017.

***Update- August 10th game, Davis 3/5 with 3 runs, a double, and a SB to raise his August batting average up to .258.

 

Jonathan Davis has put together a more consistent season in 2017. While I am sure Davis would have liked to have a couple months with a batting average over .300 and maybe a 5 home run month or two, he is becoming a more dependable contributor.

 

Final Thoughts

 

Jonathan Davis will always have doubters. Most 5-foot-8 prospects do. But the Central Arkansas alumni continues to develop and is moving in the right direction. He has a chance to finish the year with 20+ SB, double digit HR, and 20 stolen bases while posting a plus .350 OBP as the Fisher Cats leadoff man.

 

 

 

*Featured Image Credit:- Manchester City Library UNDER CC BY-SA 2.0

 

 

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Lover of all things Toronto Blue Jays. Blue Jays MiLB fanatic. I strive for average while stumbling onto above average. Rogers isn’t cheap. Baseball is a business. Your right, but I’m more right.

Ryan Mueller

Lover of all things Toronto Blue Jays. Blue Jays MiLB fanatic. I strive for average while stumbling onto above average. Rogers isn’t cheap. Baseball is a business. Your right, but I’m more right.