2018 MLB Entry Draft: Blue Jays Select Jordan Groshans

The 2018 MLB Entry Draft is Underway, and the Toronto Blue Jays Select Jordan Groshans 12th Overall.

 

 

Credit: DaveMe Images

 

 

In 2017, the Blue Jays selected college shortstop Logan Warmoth (22nd) and Junior College pitcher Nate Pearson (28th) in the first round. The two first rounders had a solid debut season in 2017, with the latter landing himself in a few Top-100 Prospects lists this fall.

On Monday night, the Blue Jays went way off the board and selected Jordan Groshans, a prep bat from Texas. Groshans can play third base and shortstop, a position the Blue Jays has drafted heavily in recent years. It came as a bit of a surprise, as Groshans wasn’t one of the more talked about names coming into this year’s draft.

 

 

That being said, there’s no reason to pile on the Jays front office for reaching for a young bat so early in the draft. The MLB Draft is an inexact science. It’s June 2018, and with the Blue Jays drafting a prep bat, we might not see this pick come to fruition any time soon, if at all. And then there’s still a chance he might not sign for the slot value of about $4.2 million, and the Jays can move that money around to sign some later-rounds guys.

 

Profile

The draft prep over at Fangraphs has a robust profile on Jordan Groshans. They list him as a “Boom or bust type infielder..has big raw power and a flat-planed swing that need to be reconciled.” That seems a bit risky for a No. 12 overall.

Some other terms to describe Groshans, via Fangraphs (you can see it all here):

  • “the tools package is electric and he could be selected in the middle of round 1 and probably doesn’t get out of the comp round.” – That’s good!
  • “Groshans is a pretty volatile power-hitting prospect who currently plays shortstop on his high school team but probably ends up at third base, and maybe an outfield corner, at maturity.” – That’s not as good.
  • “he’s shown natural bat control and has the strength in his hands to do damage even if he doesn’t time his stride well.” – That’s good!
  • “There’s some swing and miss risk here, which is particularly troubling if you don’t like Groshans’ hands and think he ends up in right field” – That’s not as good.

So early reviews are…mixed. But watching the video they showed on the draft broadcast on MLB Network, his swing is a pretty one, and his power is very evident:

 

Outlook

As a high school shortstop who probably won’t stick at the position and might be a highly risky bat, it seems unlikely that Groshans will be a quick riser like 2017 shortstop draft picks, Logan Warmoth and Kevin Smith. And that’s probably okay, with the relatively crowded architecture of the Blue Jays system there right now.

 

Place Within the Blue Jays System

Short stop is deep in the Blue Jays system right now, with Kevin Smith tearing it up in 2017, Bo Bichette coming alive with Double-A New Hampshire, Logan Warmoth looking to figure things out in High-A Dunedin, and a somewhat surprising rise of Kevin Vicuna, now with Low-A Lansing. Should Groshans sign right away and head off to either Bluefield or Vancouver, it will certainly be interesting to see how he adapts to professional ball.

The wood bats at the Perfect Game showcase certainly didn’t slow him down.

 

 

 


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Roy’s earliest memories all involve baseball from the early 90’s and the Blue Jays dream teams. He became a Blue Jays fan while watching Carlos Delgado and Shawn Green evolve in Syracuse, NY at the run-down confines of MacArthur Stadium, nestled between highway and swamp. A lifelong baseball player, Roy still plays (P, C, 2B, 3B) in the 25+ Syracuse MSBL for the Liverpool Mets. He watches almost all games with his best buddy Sebastian, a five year old Pug, who could care less.

Roy-Z

Roy’s earliest memories all involve baseball from the early 90’s and the Blue Jays dream teams. He became a Blue Jays fan while watching Carlos Delgado and Shawn Green evolve in Syracuse, NY at the run-down confines of MacArthur Stadium, nestled between highway and swamp. A lifelong baseball player, Roy still plays (P, C, 2B, 3B) in the 25+ Syracuse MSBL for the Liverpool Mets. He watches almost all games with his best buddy Sebastian, a five year old Pug, who could care less.