Blue Jays: A Quick Look at Buffalo’s Rotation

Join Jays From the Couch as we cover the arms in the Toronto Blue Jays Triple-A rotation on June 17th.

 

We’re at the halfway mark in the Minor League season. I think that’s a good time to check in on the each of the affiliates starters. Let’s start at the top and work our way down. The Triple-A Buffalo Bisons’ rotation consists of two top-rated prospects, a former 1st round selection, and a late bloomer.

 

Ryan Borucki (24)

 

The Toronto Blue Jays number 8th rated prospect has performed pretty good in his first full season at the Triple-A level and should get a chance at making his major league debut sooner than later. Borucki threw 150IP in 2017; therefore, we can expect that total to rise to 170-180 IP in 2018. The Buffalo’s lefty starter is averaging just under 6.0IP/start (5.83) so we can expect him to make about 30 starts this year which will take him to the end of August-ish.

 

Last Outing

June 13th ND- 7.0IP, 5-H, 5-R, 4-BB, 4-K, 1-HRA, 108 pitches, 8-GB, and 4-FB.

 

May

6 starts, 36.2IP, 3-3, 3.19 ERA, 13-BB, 31-K, .186 Opp BA, 1.01 WHIP.

 

Overall

Register Pitching
Year Lev W L ERA GS IP H R ER HR BB SO WHIP
2018 AAA 5 5 3.60 12 70.0 59 29 28 6 27 54 1.229
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 6/17/2018.

 

Fangraphs

52.5 GB%, .262 BABIP, 4.18 FIP, and 4.15 xFIP

 

Taylor Guerrieri (25)

 

The former Tampa 1st rounder start the year coming out of the bullpen, making one start in his first 7 appearances. Since May 20th, Guerrierri has taken a regular turn in the Bisons starting 5. As a starter, Taylor Guerrieri owns a record of 1-0 with a 4.56 ERA (6-starts) while posting a record of 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA. I’d be very surprised to see Guerrieri in Toronto at any point in 2018, unless the club starts trading off pieces prior to the July trade deadline.

 

Last Outing

June 17th ND 5.0IP, 4-H, 2-R, 5-BB, 4-K, 95 pitches, 6-GB, and 2-FB.

 

May

4 starts and 3 RP appearances, 22.0 IP, 1-1, 5.32 ERA, 8-BB, 14-K, .229 Opp BA, 1.23 WHIP.

 

Overall (not including June 17th start)

Register Pitching
Year Lev W L ERA G GS IP H R ER HR BB SO WHIP
2018 AAA 1 1 5.12 12 6 38.2 43 24 22 6 11 24 1.397
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 6/17/2018.

 

Fangraphs

58.1 GB%, .296 BABIP, 5.18 FIP, and 4.09 xFIP

 

Sean Reid-Foley (22)

 

The former 2nd round selection has put up much much better numbers in 2018 earning a promotion from Double-A New Hampshire on May 24th. After a rocky welcome to Triple-A, the 10th rated prospect has looked much in his last 2 starts earning wins and going 7.0 strong in each outing. SRF as a chance of being a September call-up or even an August call-up if continues to trend upward with his development. The 6-foot-3 righty threw 132.2IP in 2017; therefore, we can expect his inning total to rise to 150-ish. He is averaging 5.1 innings/start but threw 7.0IP in each of his last two starts. Toronto will need to monitor his innings if they want him to pitch into September. Another possibility is to have him finish the year in Toronto’s bullpen to give him a taste of the MLB.

 

Last Outing

June 15th W- 7.0IP, 4-H, 1-R, 2-BB, 7-K, 97 pitches, 7-GB, and 5-FB.

 

May

 

AA

4 starts, 23.1 IP, 1-0, 1.16 ERA, 10-BB, 21-K, .139 Opp BA, 0.90 WHIP.

 

AAA

2 starts, 8.1 IP, 0-1, 11.88 ERA, 3-BB, 12-K, .342 Opp BA, 1.92 WHIP.

 

Overall

Register Pitching
Year Lev W L ERA RAvg GS IP H R ER HR BB SO WHIP
2018 AAA 2 1 5.11 5.84 5 24.2 25 16 14 0 7 29 1.297
2018 AA 5 0 2.03 2.03 8 44.1 27 10 10 3 20 52 1.060
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 6/17/2018.

Fangraphs

AA

54.5 GB%, .240 BABIP, 3.37 FIP, and 3.33 xFIP

 

AAA

44.1 GB%, .357 BABIP, 1.94 FIP, and 2.98 xFIP

 

Chris Rowley (27)

 

Last year’s storybook season was something special; unfortunately, Rowley’s story appears to be yesterday’s news as he’s been all but forgotten in 2018. The 6-foot-2 righty has taken the ball every 5th day and given his team a chance to win. He is an excellent Triple-A pitcher and provides the Blue Jays with a decent depth arm. Chris Rowley is a contact pitcher who gets a lot of outs via the flyball…..not the type of pitcher which find success in the homer-friendly park of the ALE.

 

Last Outing

June 16th ND- 6.0IP, 3-H, 1-R, 3-BB, 2-K, 93 pitches, 6-GB, and 6-FB

 

May

6 starts, 33.2 IP, 1-1, 4.01 ERA, 14-BB, 23-K, .250 Opp BA, 1.43 WHIP

 

Overall

Standard Pitching
Year W L ERA G GS IP H R ER HR BB SO WHIP
2018 4 3 3.16 12 12 68.1 64 30 24 8 33 41 1.420
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 6/17/2018.

 

Fangraphs

33.8 GB%, .263 BABIP, 5.22 FIP, and 5.24 xFIP

 

Spot Starters

 

Murphy Smith (30)

 

Smith didn’t sign until March 24th and didn’t report Buffalo until April 10th. A bullpen piece, Murphy Smith made 8 spot starts in 2017 and did so in his last appearance. Buffalo doesn’t have a 5th starter, so it’s possible we see Smith make a couple more spot starts. Smith is a quality Triple-A arm and a team-first guy.

 

Last Outing

June 14th L- 4.0IP, 4-H, 3-R, 1-BB, 1-K, 60 pitches, 7-GB, and 3-FB

 

May

7 appearances, 9.2 IP, 0-1, 6.52 ERA, 8-BB, 7-K, .357 Opp BA, 2.38 WHIP

 

Overall

Register Pitching
Year Lev W L ERA G GS GF SV IP H R ER HR BB SO WHIP
2018 AAA 0 2 5.75 12 1 4 1 20.1 26 17 13 4 14 15 1.967
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 6/17/2018.

 

Fangraphs

33.3 GB%, .328 BABIP, 6.62 FIP, and 5.49 xFIP

 

Nick Tepesch (29)

 

I have a lot of respect the role Nick Tepesch plays in the Blue Jays farm system. With Buffalo short on arms, Tepesch was pulled from the Fisher Cats bullpen. Tepesch will eat innings out of the bullpen or in the rotation.

 

Last Outing

June 12th L- 5.0IP, 3-H, 2-R, 1-BB, 4-K, 84 pitches, 8-GB, and 2-FB

 

May

AA

4 starts and 2 relief appearances, 27.2 IP, 0-0, 4.88 ERA, 8-BB, 14-K, .279 Opp BA, 1.41 WHIP

 

Overall

Standard Pitching
Year Lg W L ERA G GS SV IP H ER HR BB SO WHIP
2018 AA,AAA 1 3 4.55 13 9 1 59.1 62 30 6 20 38 1.382
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 6/17/2018.

 

Fangraphs

AA

49.4 GB%, .310 BABIP, 4.70 FIP, and 4.49 xFIP

 

AAA

51.6 GB%, .226 BABIP, 2.96 FIP, and 3.77 xFIP

 

Bye-Bye

Deck McGuire (28)

 

It’s really too bad McGuire was claimed by the Texas Rangers on June 15th. McGuire was having a good season in Buffalo while providing Toronto with a guy who could spot start, provide long relief, or pitch in a mop up role.

 

Good luck in the Texas system.

 

Overall

Standard Pitching
Year Tm Lg W L ERA G GS GF IP H R ER HR BB SO WHIP
2018 TOR-TEX-min AAA 4 2 4.08 9 8 0 46.1 38 23 21 4 23 40 1.317
2018 TOR AL 0 0 6.48 4 0 3 8.1 9 6 6 2 5 7 1.680
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 6/17/2018.

 

Closing

 

The Herd should be happy with it’s rotation, minus the loss of Deck McGuire. Over the next month I am sure we will see Jordan Romano back in a Bisons’ uniform or Luis Santos enter the rotation. Another possibility is T.J. Zeuch who has been impressive in June with the Fisher Cats.

 

 

*Featured Image Credit: DaveMe images

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Lover of all things Toronto Blue Jays. Blue Jays MiLB fanatic. I strive for average while stumbling onto above average. Rogers isn’t cheap. Baseball is a business. Your right, but I’m more right.

Ryan Mueller

Lover of all things Toronto Blue Jays. Blue Jays MiLB fanatic. I strive for average while stumbling onto above average. Rogers isn't cheap. Baseball is a business. Your right, but I'm more right.