Series Preview: Blue Jays vs Orioles August 1st to 4th

After sweeping the Kansas City Royals, the Toronto Blue Jays head to Camden Yards for a 4-game set against the Orioles

 

 

 

I didn’t think the Blue Jays were going to earn the sweep against the Kansas City Royals (actually thought KC would take the series 2-1) but sweep them they did. Toronto got decent starts from Thomas Pannone, Sean Reid-Foley, and Jacob Waguespack, allowing 4 runs and 7BB while striking out 10 over 17IP.

 

Not outstanding.

 

Toronto outscored the Royals 20 to 9, hitting 6 homers including a Vladimir Guerrero Jr. grand slam.

 

The Blue Jays make their way to Baltimore. They will face off against the divisional rival for 4 games. Orioles finished up a 2 games series against the San Diego Padres on Sunday, so they should be rested. The O’s and the Padres split that series, losing GM1 8 to 1 with David Hess allowing 4 bombs. In GM2 the O’s got 2-RBI performances from Trey Mancini, Renato Nunez, and Richie Martin in 8 to 5 win.

 

The O’s took 2 out of 3 from the Blue Jays prior to the All-Star game and hold the advantage with a 5-4 season series lead. The O’s held the Blue Jays to two runs in the first two games before Toronto returned the favor with a 6 to 1 win in the rubber match. After this 4-game set is complete, these clubs will faceoff six more times in 2019.

 

The O’s have a firm hold on the cellar in the AL East with a 36-71 record. Baltimore remains 31.5 games back of the division-leading NY Yankee. At home, the O’s are 15-36. They are 6 and 4 in their last 10 games.

 

Toronto owns a 43-67 record, 5.5 games ahead of the O’s. The Blue Jays are 23-33 away from the Rogers Centre and are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

 

It will be an interesting series between these rebuilding franchises. The Blue Jays will need to piece together a starting rotation and bullpen which over the last couple days lost SP Marcus Stroman, SP Aaron Sanchez, RP David Phelps, RP Joe Biagini, and Daniel Hudson in separate trades and Ryan Borucki to the IL.

 

Thursday, August 1st, 7:05 pm start

RHP Trent Thornton (TOR) vs Asher Wojciechowski (BALT)

 

Thornton: 3-7, 5.45ERA, 4.70FIP, 1.54WHIP, 4.09BB/9, 9.09K/9.

 

This is a rematch of the July 7th start when Thornton picked up a with 6shutout, 3 hit innings. He didn’t walk a batter and struck out 5. This will be Thornton’s first start since landing on the IL on after his July 20th start. He also faced the O’s in Baltimore on June 11th, taking the loss. He allowed 3 runs on 7 hits over 5.0IP with 3 walks and 4K.

 

Wojciechowski: 2-3, 3.60ERA, 3.93FIP, 0.93WHIP, 2.40BB/9, and 11.10K/9.

 

The former Toronto prospect has bounced around the past couple seasons. He has a chance to grab a job this year with the rebuilding O’s who are not flush with pitching prospects. He’s been the clubs best starter and will be their best chance at avoiding a sweep. Toronto roughed up Asher and O’s on July 7th, winning 6 to 1. Asher gave up 2 runs in the 1st inning and another run in the 4th. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hit his 16th HR off Asher.

 

Friday, August 2nd, 7:05 pm start

TBD (TOR) vs RHP Aaron Brooks (BALT)

 

This would have been Aaron Sanchez’ turn in the rotation but he gone. I can’t even fathom a guess. Please don’t let it be recent waiver pick, Brook Stewart, or Ryan Feierabend (last pitched on July 27th.

 

Brooks: 2-4, 5.46ERA, 5.56 FIP, 1.32 WHIP, 2.52BB/9, and 7.27K/9.

 

The 29-yr-old Brooks made his O’s debut on July 13th after spending 2018 and much of 2019 with the Oakland A’s. Brooks was waived by the A’s. Aaron last faced the Blue Jays on April 19th, taking the loss after allowing 5 runs on 6 hits, a HR. He walked 2 and struck out 5 Blue Jays. The 6-foot-4 righty has allowed 11 runs over his last two starts, 5 innings against the LA Angeles and 3.2IP against the Arizona D-Backs.

 

Saturday, August 3rd, 7:05 pm start

LHP Thomas Pannone (TOR) vs Dylan Bundy (BALT)

 

Pannone: 2-4, 5.98ERA, 4.74FIP, 1.43WHIP, 4.17BB/9, 8.52K/9.

 

Pannone has made 4 start and 22 relief appearances but he has a chance at solidifying a spot in the rotation for 2020 and beyond over the final two months of the 2019 season. Pannone owns a 9.98ERA as a starter but chucked 6 innings on July 29th, holding the Royals to 2ER on 4 hits while walking one and striking out 4. Now that was against the lowly Royals but this is against the lowly O’s so hopefully, we can expect a similar result.

 

Bundy: 5-11, 5.24ERA, 5.34FIP, 1.38WHIP, 3.23BB/9, and 9.17K/9

 

The former 1st rounder is on the verge of finishing another season with plus 5.00ERA. He’s allowed 23 home runs which are down slightly from the 2.15HR/9 he posted in 2018. Dylan pitched in Toronto on July 5th, going 6.2IP allowing one run (Brandon Drury solo HR) on 3 hits, 2BB, and 6K. July was not a great month for the 6-foot-1 righty. He posted a season-high 6.75 for the month and opponents hit .293 off him.

 

He has not been good at home. In 49.2IP at home, Bundy owns a 6.16ERA and a .382wOBA versus a .311wOBA and 4.39ERA on the road.

 

Sunday, August 4th, 1:05 pm start

RHP Sean Reid-Foley (TOR) vs RHP David Hess (BALT)

 

Reid-Foley: 1-1, 2.55ERA, 4.76FIP, 1.42WHIP, 5.09BB/9, and 8.15K/9

 

The 23-yr-old former 2RD selection picked up his 1st ML win of 2019 against the Royals on July 30th. He walked 4, struck out 4, and allowed 4 runs over 5 shutout innings. He barely made it through 5 innings and seemed to be against the ropes the entire start. The O’s tagged him for 5 runs (3ER) on 4 hits, including a HR, over 2IP on April 1st. Like Pannone, SRF is fighting for a spot in the 2020 rotation for the Blue Jays and should be used in the rotation for the rest of 2019. This one could turn into a slugfest.

 

Hess: 1-10, 7.31ERA, 7.19FIP, 1.57WHIP, 3.47BB/9, and 7.68K/9

 

What can I say, Hess has not been good in 2019. He did almost no-hit the Blue Jays before being lifted because of a pitch count. The 26-yr-old owns a 9.90ERA and .425wOBA at home, allowing 11HR in 30IP. Hess has faced the Blue Jays twice, one in TO (W, 6.1IP, 0H, 0R, 1BB, 8K) and once at Camden Yards (June 12th, L, 4.0IP, 4H, 4R, 4BB, 3K).

 

David Hess struck out 7 batters and walked none but surrendered 4 home runs in his last start on July 29th on the road against the San Diego Padres. That was the second time he’s allowed 4 HR in a game and 5th time he’s allowed more than 3HR.

 

More About the O’s

Baltimore holds a team batting average of .244 (24th) with a .712OPS (25th). Baltimore has hit 135 HR (24th), with 198 doubles (26th), 16 triples (14th), 445RBI (27th), and 470 runs scored (26th). They are getting on-base a .317 (26th) clip with 346 (26th) walks and 904 strikeouts (10th). On the bases, the O’s have just 57 stolen bases (T10th).

 

On the mound, the O’s own the worst ERA in the majors at 5.55ERA. They’ve allowed the most HR (207), runs allowed (651). The O’s have surrendered 998 hits (6th) and allowed 381 walks (7th) for a 1.45WHIP (28th).

 

Over the last 30 days, Anthony Santander is hitting very well with a .320BA and .872OPS. He has also collected 6 doubles, a triple, and 4HR while driving in 18 runs and scoring 15 in 24 games. Trey Mancini and Renato Nunez lead the O’s with 7HR over the last 30 days with Nunez also leading the O’s with 19 RBI during this period. Nunez is also batting over .300 with a .955OPS. Jonathan Villar is batting .288 with a .750OPS while collecting 3 doubles, a triple, 3HR, and 7SB.

 

Who’s Hot on Toronto

Freddy Galvis is leading the Blue Jays with 30 hits over the last 30 days. Galvis owns a .294BA with a .772OPS while collecting 6 doubles, a triple, 3HR, and 12RBI during this stretch. Toescar Hernandez leads the Blue Jays with 8HR, batting .282 with a 1.008OPS and 14RBI. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .284 with .825OPS, hitting 3HR, 6 doubles, and a team-leading 20RBI.

 

Prediction: The Blue Jays are a young and exciting team who are hitting for power; unfortunately, the rotation has a lot of question marks. This could be a slugfest with the Blue Jays taking the series, 3 games to 1.

 

 

 

 

 


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Ryan Mueller

Lover of all things Toronto Blue Jays. Blue Jays MiLB fanatic. I strive for average while stumbling onto above average. Rogers isn't cheap. Baseball is a business. Your right, but I'm more right.